Decision analysis for management judgment /
By: Goodwin, Paul.
Contributor(s): Wright, George.
Publisher: Chichester, West Sussex, UK : Wiley, 2014Edition: 5th edition.Description: xi, 484 p. : ill. ; 23 cm.Content type: text Media type: unmediated Carrier type: volumeISBN: 9781118740736; 9781118740736:; 1118740734; 9781118887875; 1118887875; 9781118887905; 1118887905.Subject(s): Decision making | ManagementDDC classification: 658.403Item type | Current library | Call number | Copy number | Status | Date due | Barcode | Item holds |
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Standard Loan | ATU Sligo Yeats Library Main Lending Collection | 658.403 GOO (Browse shelf(Opens below)) | 1 | Available | 0063969 |
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Includes bibliographic references and index.
Foreword / Lawrence D. Philips -- Preface -- Chapter 1 : introduction -- Chapter 2 : how people make decisions involving multiple objectives -- Chapter 3 : decisions involving multiple objectives : SMART -- Chapter 4 : decisions involving multiple objectives : alternatives to SMART -- Chapter 5 : introduction to probability -- Chapter 6 : decision making under uncertainty -- Chapter 7 : decision trees and influence diagrams -- Chapter 8 : applying simulation to decision problems -- Chapter 9 : revising judgments in the light of new information -- Chapter 10 : heuristics and biases in probability assessment -- Chapter 11 : methods for eliciting probabilities -- Chapter 12 : risk and uncertainty management -- Chapter 13 : decisions involving grropus of individuals -- Chapter 14 : resource allocation and negotiation problems -- Chapter 15 : decision framing and cognitive inertia -- Chapter 16 : scenario planning : an alternative way of dealing with uncertainty -- Chapter 17 : combining scenario planning with decision analysis -- Chapter 18 : alternative decsion-support systems and conclusions -- Suggested answers to selected questions -- Index.
This title is unique in its breadth of coverage of decision analysis methods. It covers both the psychological problems that are associated with unaided managerial decision making and the decision analysis methods designed to overcome them.